Damascus Spring-let?
This from ArabicNews highlighting the reaction of the Syria Civil Society Revival Committees to the Assad regime's decision (No. 408) to "separate" the Baath Party from the Executive branch.
This effectively means that the Baath Party will no longer have the state apparatus in a full-nelson. How likely is Syrian President Bashar Assad to succeed? His father tried implementing the decision, but failed. In a sense, Bashar may be doing this the wrong way around: generally when bureaucracies become major headaches, the best option is to circumvent them, preferably through the private sector. That's sort of what Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri tried to do after 1991, though he spoiled the whole thing by becoming the prime dispenser of private-sector patronage.
Assad, however, wants to weaken the Baath apparatus, but offers no substitute or parallel structure to replace it. Up to now, SYrian private-sector reforms have been advancing at a snail's pace. Plus, Assad continues to rely heavily on the intelligence services and the Baath to impose his writ. This gives both the security services and the party an incentive to collaborate in blocking presidential reforms.
In a nutshell, Syria may very simply be incapable of domestic reform. Once change becomes serious, Assad becomes irrelevant, much like Gorbachev.
FREE MINDS FOR THE MIDDLE EAST
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Blog Archive
-
▼
2003
(309)
-
►
December
(9)
- My Lebanon 2003 roundup, for the Daily Star of Dec...
- More on the previous post: My article for the Dail...
- Liberty, equality, fraternity Alain Hertoghe sees...
- Shammas on Said Novelist Anton Shammas has writte...
- At sea on O'Brian Saw Peter Weir's film Master an...
- Liaison dangereuse Chuck Freund sends a missive ...
- Silenced by Qaddafi Last week the Sunday Telegrap...
- A sheep in Wolfowitz clothing? The Washington Pos...
- The Palestinians, Saddam and a Syrian Work has ma...
-
►
September
(14)
- Collusion across the southern border Here is my w...
- Uday's failed assassins An article in the Christi...
- Said comments Among the comments on Edward Said, ...
- After the last sky Edward Said is dead, and for t...
- Aoun and Syria Here's a link to my Daily Star art...
- Matt Barganier demands to be read Received this r...
- Bargain analysis Received this word from one Matt...
- Taysir Alouni, again Many readers will have come ...
- Bashir Gemayel Tomorrow is the 21st anniversary o...
- It's rare for me to post an entire article of mine...
- Spanish Inquisition Al-Jazeera’s high-profile cor...
- For those who didn't reroute here through the arti...
- The end of Zionism? Here is a truly remarkable pi...
- Worst and dimmest I haven't posted anything in tw...
-
►
August
(14)
- Held in low esteem My friend Chibli Mallat is bei...
- I would like to claim laziness as my reason for no...
- Two opinion pieces in this week's Daily Star are w...
- Hi, Bye "It's good to get them in a dialogue whil...
- From the archives: As I was buying a newspaper tod...
- Overrating Powell A few thoughts on the reports e...
- Here's the link promised in the previous posting: ...
- Hizbullah and Syria are set up I'll be posting a ...
- Two pieces from the Reason website are well worth ...
- Full court press Here was the Bush administration...
- You pay, they forget On a topic related to this s...
- Syrian instincts Here's an article I published in...
- Opinionated One aim of mine at the Daily Star opi...
- Saddam wanted out According to a front-page story...
-
▼
July
(22)
- Damascus Spring-let? This from ArabicNews highlig...
- Baker's field? The Washington Post is reporting t...
- For reasons we need not develop, but which have no...
- It's the dream of any newspaper or author to occas...
- Abu Mazen and Munich Many readers will have come ...
- Here is a link to my comment in today's Daily Star...
- Two article links to better understand the contend...
- More Burbalings I will be linking BC to a comment...
- My friend Fawaz Gerges has been targeted by Campus...
- Saghiyyeh on Iraq Al-Hayat published a very lucid...
- Those interested in domestic Lebanese politics mig...
- What really happened on the Syrian border? Thanks...
- I privatize you The New York Times has this inter...
- I wrote this article on the inadequacy of the left...
- In tomorrow's (Thursday) Daily Star I look back on...
- Back with some links To say I've been lax updatin...
- Thanks to Nick Gillespie for this link to a story ...
- Here is a link to an article of mine published ear...
- Noah's lark Thanks to my friend Tony Badran, I ca...
- Silvio tongued Silvio Berlusconi has made a grand...
- FYI -- Blogger has updated many of its blog sites,...
- Shame, shame, shame. I've been lax in my postings,...
-
►
December
(9)
0 comments:
Post a Comment